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DHT: 01CSV

25 Sept 2021 · 15:00

Alloa

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.5%
Dumbarton
25.1%
Draw
47.4%
Alloa

Expected Goals (xG)

1.27

Dumbarton

vs
1.72

Alloa

Markets

BTTS59.8%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.580.7%
Over 2.557.5%
Over 3.535.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.7%
1-2
9.5%
0-1
7.9%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
7.0%
2-2
6.0%
0-0
5.7%
1-0
5.6%
1-3
5.4%
0-3
4.3%
2-0
4.0%
2-3
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).