Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.9%
Albacete
30.4%
Draw
23.8%
Tenerife
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Albacete
vs
0.75
Tenerife
Markets
BTTS36.4%
Over 0.585.5%
Over 1.557.2%
Over 2.530.3%
Over 3.512.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.2%
0-0
14.5%
1-1
12.7%
0-1
11.1%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
4.8%
0-2
4.1%
3-0
3.9%
3-1
2.9%
2-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).