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HHT: 10CSV

26 Dec 2023 · 15:00

Fylde

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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76.6%
Rochdale
16.8%
Draw
6.6%
Fylde

Expected Goals (xG)

2.33

Rochdale

vs
0.56

Fylde

Markets

BTTS39.4%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.579.0%
Over 2.555.2%
Over 3.532.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
15.1%
1-0
12.3%
3-0
11.7%
2-1
8.5%
1-1
7.9%
4-0
6.8%
3-1
6.6%
0-0
6.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-0
3.2%
0-1
2.5%
2-2
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).