Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.2%
Le Mans
19.5%
Draw
13.3%
Niort
Expected Goals (xG)
1.89
Le Mans
vs
0.67
Niort
Markets
BTTS40.6%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.547.0%
Over 3.525.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.4%
2-0
13.8%
2-1
9.2%
1-1
9.0%
3-0
8.7%
0-0
7.0%
0-1
6.0%
3-1
5.8%
4-0
4.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-2
3.1%
4-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).