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HHT: 11CSV

03 Apr 2024 · 17:30

Lamia

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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91.9%
PAOK
6.6%
Draw
1.5%
Lamia

Expected Goals (xG)

3.48

PAOK

vs
0.39

Lamia

Markets

BTTS31.7%
Over 0.597.7%
Over 1.590.1%
Over 2.574.3%
Over 3.554.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

3-0
14.6%
4-0
12.7%
2-0
12.6%
5-0
8.9%
1-0
7.0%
3-1
5.7%
4-1
5.0%
2-1
4.9%
5-1
3.5%
1-1
3.1%
0-0
2.3%
3-2
1.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).