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29 Sept 2025 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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64.4%
Zagłębie Lubin
21.4%
Draw
14.2%
Arka Gdynia

Expected Goals (xG)

2.11

Zagłębie Lubin

vs
0.90

Arka Gdynia

Markets

BTTS52.9%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.581.0%
Over 2.557.9%
Over 3.535.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
11.0%
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.6%
3-0
7.7%
3-1
6.9%
0-0
5.7%
2-2
4.4%
1-2
4.2%
4-0
4.1%
4-1
3.7%
0-1
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).