Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.8%
Harrogate
23.8%
Draw
59.5%
Notts County
Expected Goals (xG)
0.71
Harrogate
vs
1.61
Notts County
Markets
BTTS40.0%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.540.7%
Over 3.520.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.4%
0-2
12.8%
1-1
10.7%
0-0
9.4%
1-2
9.0%
1-0
7.5%
0-3
6.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-1
4.0%
2-2
3.2%
0-4
2.7%
2-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).