Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.8%
Santander
27.1%
Draw
35.1%
Las Palmas
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Santander
vs
1.20
Las Palmas
Markets
BTTS49.7%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.544.3%
Over 3.523.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
1-0
11.0%
0-1
10.5%
0-0
8.5%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
3.4%
1-3
3.1%
3-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).