Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.3%
Stevenage
25.0%
Draw
14.7%
Harrogate
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Stevenage
vs
0.58
Harrogate
Markets
BTTS33.6%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.561.0%
Over 2.534.5%
Over 3.515.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.3%
2-0
14.1%
0-0
12.0%
1-1
10.4%
2-1
8.1%
0-1
7.7%
3-0
7.1%
3-1
4.1%
1-2
3.1%
4-0
2.6%
2-2
2.4%
0-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).