Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.5%
Pisa
30.9%
Draw
37.6%
Parma
Expected Goals (xG)
0.91
Pisa
vs
1.03
Parma
Markets
BTTS38.2%
Over 0.585.9%
Over 1.557.5%
Over 2.530.7%
Over 3.513.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.0%
0-0
14.1%
1-0
13.3%
1-1
13.2%
0-2
7.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
3.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-3
2.4%
3-1
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).