Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.6%
Alcorcon
35.7%
Draw
39.7%
Leganes
Expected Goals (xG)
0.63
Alcorcon
vs
0.89
Leganes
Markets
BTTS27.5%
Over 0.578.3%
Over 1.544.8%
Over 2.519.7%
Over 3.56.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
21.7%
0-1
19.6%
1-0
13.9%
1-1
12.2%
0-2
8.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-0
4.3%
2-1
3.9%
0-3
2.6%
2-2
1.7%
1-3
1.6%
3-0
0.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).