Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.8%
Lechia Gdańsk
24.8%
Draw
34.4%
Raków Częstochowa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
Lechia Gdańsk
vs
1.56
Raków Częstochowa
Markets
BTTS65.7%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.584.8%
Over 2.563.6%
Over 3.541.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.0%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-2
6.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-0
5.5%
0-1
5.0%
3-1
5.0%
0-0
4.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.1%
3-2
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).