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15 Dec 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.5%
Chateauroux
27.5%
Draw
45.0%
Orleans

Expected Goals (xG)

0.86

Chateauroux

vs
1.20

Orleans

Markets

BTTS39.4%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.560.1%
Over 2.534.1%
Over 3.515.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
16.3%
1-1
12.1%
1-0
12.0%
0-0
11.6%
0-2
9.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
5.7%
2-0
4.7%
0-3
3.7%
2-2
3.4%
1-3
3.2%
3-1
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).