Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.1%
Burnley
24.2%
Draw
52.7%
Brentford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Burnley
vs
2.01
Brentford
Markets
BTTS64.3%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.585.6%
Over 2.564.3%
Over 3.542.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.9%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-2
6.2%
2-1
6.2%
0-1
6.0%
0-3
5.0%
0-0
5.0%
2-3
4.2%
1-0
3.4%
1-4
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).