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HHT: 10CSV

23 Feb 2019

Eibar

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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48.2%
Ath Bilbao
27.9%
Draw
23.9%
Eibar

Expected Goals (xG)

1.39

Ath Bilbao

vs
0.90

Eibar

Markets

BTTS44.8%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.567.0%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.519.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.8%
1-1
12.9%
0-0
10.4%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
4.6%
3-1
4.1%
0-2
4.1%
2-2
4.0%
3-2
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).