Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.3%
Crystal Palace
29.2%
Draw
46.5%
Manchester City
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Crystal Palace
vs
1.51
Manchester City
Markets
BTTS52.1%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.525.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
0-1
10.1%
0-0
9.5%
1-2
9.3%
0-2
8.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.4%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
4.7%
0-3
4.5%
2-0
4.2%
2-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).