Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.9%
Ponferradina
28.3%
Draw
34.8%
Albacete
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Ponferradina
vs
1.11
Albacete
Markets
BTTS45.9%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.566.1%
Over 2.539.6%
Over 3.519.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
1-0
12.1%
0-1
11.6%
0-0
10.2%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
3.0%
1-3
2.8%
3-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).