Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.9%
Elche
25.7%
Draw
17.4%
Albacete
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Elche
vs
0.71
Albacete
Markets
BTTS39.5%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.565.1%
Over 2.538.4%
Over 3.518.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.5%
2-0
12.5%
1-1
11.5%
0-0
10.7%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
7.7%
3-0
6.3%
3-1
4.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-2
3.1%
0-2
2.7%
4-0
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).