Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.9%
Luton
28.4%
Draw
44.7%
Norwich
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
Luton
vs
1.42
Norwich
Markets
BTTS50.2%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.544.9%
Over 3.523.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
0-1
11.1%
0-0
9.4%
1-2
9.0%
0-2
8.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.6%
2-2
4.7%
2-0
4.6%
1-3
4.3%
0-3
4.1%
3-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).