Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.0%
Spezia
31.0%
Draw
32.9%
Chievo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Spezia
vs
1.12
Chievo
Markets
BTTS47.9%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.520.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.6%
0-0
11.4%
1-0
10.6%
0-1
9.9%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-1
3.1%
1-3
2.8%
3-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).