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AHT: 01CSV

13 Sept 2022 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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82.5%
Barnet
12.2%
Draw
5.2%
Dorking

Expected Goals (xG)

2.93

Barnet

vs
0.67

Dorking

Markets

BTTS46.7%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.587.9%
Over 2.569.8%
Over 3.548.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
11.7%
3-0
11.5%
4-0
8.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-1
7.7%
1-0
7.5%
1-1
5.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-0
4.9%
5-1
3.3%
0-0
3.2%
2-2
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).