Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.7%
Ascoli
32.5%
Draw
19.8%
Virtus Entella
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Ascoli
vs
0.70
Virtus Entella
Markets
BTTS36.6%
Over 0.584.1%
Over 1.558.5%
Over 2.530.2%
Over 3.512.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.7%
0-0
15.9%
1-1
13.7%
2-0
11.0%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-0
4.5%
1-2
4.3%
0-2
3.5%
3-1
3.1%
2-2
2.7%
4-0
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).