Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.1%
Brentford
30.6%
Draw
21.3%
Blackburn
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Brentford
vs
0.77
Blackburn
Markets
BTTS40.1%
Over 0.586.5%
Over 1.562.3%
Over 2.534.3%
Over 3.515.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.4%
1-1
13.6%
0-0
13.5%
2-0
10.6%
0-1
8.8%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
4.9%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
3.8%
3-1
3.6%
2-2
3.2%
4-0
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).