Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.8%
Benevento
28.2%
Draw
17.9%
Cosenza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Benevento
vs
0.78
Cosenza
Markets
BTTS43.5%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.568.2%
Over 2.540.5%
Over 3.520.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.1%
1-1
13.0%
2-0
11.6%
0-0
11.2%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
6.6%
3-0
5.9%
1-2
4.6%
3-1
4.6%
2-2
3.5%
0-2
3.0%
4-0
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).