Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.9%
Montpellier
20.9%
Draw
24.2%
Pau FC
Expected Goals (xG)
1.87
Montpellier
vs
1.15
Pau FC
Markets
BTTS57.0%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.579.5%
Over 2.558.1%
Over 3.535.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
10.0%
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-0
8.5%
0-1
6.5%
3-1
6.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-0
5.3%
0-0
4.0%
3-2
3.5%
0-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).