Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.5%
Morecambe
24.8%
Draw
56.6%
Exeter
Expected Goals (xG)
0.74
Morecambe
vs
1.53
Exeter
Markets
BTTS40.6%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.565.9%
Over 2.539.7%
Over 3.519.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.2%
0-2
12.1%
1-1
11.2%
0-0
9.8%
1-2
9.0%
1-0
8.1%
0-3
6.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-1
4.3%
2-2
3.3%
2-0
2.8%
0-4
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).