Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →80.8%
Sp Braga
12.5%
Draw
6.8%
Maritimo
Expected Goals (xG)
2.69
Sp Braga
vs
0.64
Maritimo
Markets
BTTS44.0%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.584.3%
Over 2.564.7%
Over 3.542.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.9%
3-0
11.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.3%
4-0
7.8%
3-1
7.5%
1-1
5.9%
4-1
5.0%
5-0
4.2%
0-0
3.3%
5-1
2.7%
2-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).