Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.9%
Man United
18.2%
Draw
61.0%
Halesowen Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Man United
vs
2.45
Halesowen Town
Markets
BTTS68.5%
Over 0.598.1%
Over 1.589.4%
Over 2.573.9%
Over 3.553.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
8.9%
1-3
7.3%
1-1
7.1%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
6.2%
0-1
5.5%
0-3
5.2%
2-3
5.1%
2-1
5.1%
1-4
4.5%
0-4
3.2%
1-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).