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29 Mar 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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68.6%
Lincoln
16.8%
Draw
14.5%
Leyton Orient

Expected Goals (xG)

2.29

Lincoln

vs
0.93

Leyton Orient

Markets

BTTS53.8%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.582.5%
Over 2.562.5%
Over 3.540.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
10.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
8.0%
1-1
7.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-0
4.6%
2-2
4.5%
0-1
4.4%
4-1
4.3%
1-2
4.0%
3-2
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).