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06 Jan 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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65.4%
Rochdale
25.1%
Draw
9.5%
Kidderminster

Expected Goals (xG)

1.64

Rochdale

vs
0.47

Kidderminster

Markets

BTTS31.2%
Over 0.587.1%
Over 1.563.1%
Over 2.535.4%
Over 3.516.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
19.0%
2-0
16.2%
0-0
12.9%
1-1
10.2%
3-0
8.9%
2-1
7.7%
0-1
4.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-0
3.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-2
1.8%
4-1
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).