Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.5%
Albacete
23.1%
Draw
15.4%
Ibiza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
Albacete
vs
0.72
Ibiza
Markets
BTTS42.0%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.544.1%
Over 3.523.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.1%
2-0
12.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
8.6%
3-0
7.4%
0-1
6.4%
3-1
5.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-2
3.3%
4-0
3.2%
4-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).