Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.0%
Heidenheim
25.3%
Draw
52.7%
Freiburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Heidenheim
vs
1.73
Freiburg
Markets
BTTS54.0%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.577.1%
Over 2.552.3%
Over 3.530.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
9.4%
0-0
7.0%
2-1
5.9%
1-0
5.8%
1-3
5.6%
0-3
5.4%
2-2
5.1%
2-0
3.4%
2-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).