Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.9%
Darmstadt
21.7%
Draw
14.4%
Ulm
Expected Goals (xG)
2.10
Darmstadt
vs
0.91
Ulm
Markets
BTTS53.4%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.581.2%
Over 2.558.0%
Over 3.535.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.4%
3-0
7.6%
3-1
6.9%
0-0
5.8%
2-2
4.5%
1-2
4.3%
4-0
4.0%
4-1
3.6%
0-1
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).