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AHT: 00CSV

24 Aug 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.8%
Extremadura UD
27.5%
Draw
34.7%
La Coruna

Expected Goals (xG)

1.22

Extremadura UD

vs
1.16

La Coruna

Markets

BTTS48.2%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.542.5%
Over 3.521.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.0%
1-0
11.4%
0-1
10.9%
0-0
9.1%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.3%
1-3
2.9%
3-0
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).