Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.6%
Tonbridge Angels
20.3%
Draw
20.1%
Ellistown & Ibstock Utd.
Expected Goals (xG)
2.07
Tonbridge Angels
vs
1.11
Ellistown & Ibstock Utd.
Markets
BTTS58.3%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.582.3%
Over 2.561.6%
Over 3.539.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.8%
3-0
6.1%
2-2
5.5%
1-2
5.3%
0-1
4.9%
0-0
3.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).