Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.4%
Villarreal
15.8%
Draw
8.8%
Las Palmas
Expected Goals (xG)
2.48
Villarreal
vs
0.73
Las Palmas
Markets
BTTS47.7%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.583.1%
Over 2.562.2%
Over 3.539.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.4%
3-0
10.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-1
7.5%
1-1
7.5%
4-0
6.3%
4-1
4.6%
0-0
4.2%
2-2
3.3%
5-0
3.1%
0-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).