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HHT: 10CSV

09 Feb 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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8.6%
Forfar
15.2%
Draw
76.1%
Airdrie Utd

Expected Goals (xG)

0.83

Forfar

vs
2.69

Airdrie Utd

Markets

BTTS53.0%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.587.0%
Over 2.568.2%
Over 3.546.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
10.7%
0-3
9.6%
1-2
8.9%
1-3
8.0%
0-1
7.5%
1-1
7.1%
0-4
6.4%
1-4
5.3%
2-2
3.7%
0-5
3.5%
0-0
3.4%
2-3
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).