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DHT: 01CSV

02 Apr 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.8%
Kidderminster
33.6%
Draw
32.7%
Altrincham

Expected Goals (xG)

0.99

Kidderminster

vs
0.97

Altrincham

Markets

BTTS40.0%
Over 0.584.7%
Over 1.559.2%
Over 2.531.0%
Over 3.513.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
15.3%
1-1
14.7%
1-0
12.9%
0-1
12.6%
2-0
6.9%
2-1
6.7%
0-2
6.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-0
2.3%
3-1
2.2%
0-3
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).