Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.2%
Ayr
32.2%
Draw
42.6%
Kilmarnock
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
Ayr
vs
1.31
Kilmarnock
Markets
BTTS46.9%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.568.0%
Over 2.539.3%
Over 3.519.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
15.1%
0-0
12.5%
0-1
11.6%
0-2
8.9%
1-2
8.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.2%
2-0
4.7%
2-2
4.0%
0-3
3.9%
1-3
3.7%
3-1
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).