Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.9%
Guimaraes
22.4%
Draw
15.7%
Pacos Ferreira
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
Guimaraes
vs
0.72
Pacos Ferreira
Markets
BTTS41.6%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.569.5%
Over 2.544.0%
Over 3.522.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.5%
2-0
12.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
8.3%
3-0
7.4%
0-1
6.7%
3-1
5.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-2
3.3%
4-0
3.2%
4-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).