Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.9%
Nurnberg
18.7%
Draw
12.4%
Erzgebirge Aue
Expected Goals (xG)
2.45
Nurnberg
vs
0.98
Erzgebirge Aue
Markets
BTTS57.7%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.586.3%
Over 2.566.4%
Over 3.544.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
1-1
8.6%
3-0
8.0%
3-1
7.8%
1-0
7.2%
4-0
4.9%
4-1
4.8%
2-2
4.7%
0-0
4.0%
1-2
3.8%
3-2
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).