Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.6%
Stockport
27.4%
Draw
15.0%
Chorley
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Stockport
vs
0.66
Chorley
Markets
BTTS39.0%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.565.6%
Over 2.537.8%
Over 3.518.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.1%
2-0
13.1%
1-1
12.2%
0-0
12.0%
2-1
8.7%
3-0
6.7%
0-1
6.4%
3-1
4.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-2
2.9%
4-0
2.6%
0-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).