Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.8%
Alcorcon
29.5%
Draw
42.7%
Sociedad B
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
Alcorcon
vs
1.18
Sociedad B
Markets
BTTS40.8%
Over 0.587.6%
Over 1.561.3%
Over 2.534.4%
Over 3.515.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.0%
1-1
13.1%
0-0
12.4%
1-0
11.3%
0-2
8.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-1
5.9%
2-0
5.0%
2-2
3.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-3
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).