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31 Aug 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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41.0%
Tipton Town
26.4%
Draw
32.6%
AFC Wimbledon

Expected Goals (xG)

1.31

Tipton Town

vs
1.14

AFC Wimbledon

Markets

BTTS49.3%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.544.4%
Over 3.523.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.5%
1-0
11.7%
0-1
10.2%
2-1
8.5%
0-0
8.2%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
3.7%
3-0
3.3%
1-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).