Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.3%
Crewe
23.3%
Draw
19.3%
Crawley Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.66
Crewe
vs
0.84
Crawley Town
Markets
BTTS45.4%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.524.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.2%
2-0
11.3%
1-1
11.0%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
7.8%
0-1
7.4%
3-0
6.3%
3-1
5.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-2
4.0%
0-2
2.9%
4-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).