Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.5%
St Pauli
32.1%
Draw
36.4%
M'gladbach
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
St Pauli
vs
1.09
M'gladbach
Markets
BTTS42.8%
Over 0.586.5%
Over 1.562.7%
Over 2.534.6%
Over 3.515.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.5%
0-0
13.5%
0-1
12.5%
1-0
11.4%
0-2
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
3.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-3
2.7%
3-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).