Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.4%
Ferrol
31.1%
Draw
40.5%
Villarreal B
Expected Goals (xG)
0.84
Ferrol
vs
1.07
Villarreal B
Markets
BTTS37.3%
Over 0.585.4%
Over 1.556.9%
Over 2.530.0%
Over 3.512.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.9%
0-0
14.6%
1-1
13.2%
1-0
12.6%
0-2
8.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-1
5.6%
2-0
5.2%
0-3
3.0%
2-2
3.0%
1-3
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).