Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.7%
Oviedo
29.0%
Draw
25.3%
Granada
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Oviedo
vs
0.84
Granada
Markets
BTTS40.4%
Over 0.587.7%
Over 1.561.5%
Over 2.534.6%
Over 3.515.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.6%
1-1
12.9%
0-0
12.3%
0-1
10.6%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
5.5%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.0%
2-2
3.4%
3-1
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).