Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.1%
Bologna
25.6%
Draw
32.3%
Genoa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Bologna
vs
1.21
Genoa
Markets
BTTS53.0%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.548.8%
Over 3.527.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
1-0
10.5%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.3%
0-0
7.0%
2-2
5.3%
0-2
5.3%
3-1
4.2%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).