Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.2%
Hatayspor
25.4%
Draw
46.4%
Rizespor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
Hatayspor
vs
2.06
Rizespor
Markets
BTTS71.9%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.590.2%
Over 2.570.9%
Over 3.550.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-2
7.0%
2-1
6.8%
1-3
6.0%
0-2
5.4%
2-3
4.8%
0-0
4.7%
3-2
3.7%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
3.6%
2-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).